PolyBot

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Traders

Mustafa2015

0x88dccbdeb5d6134ce34dc73682c0f4c1d76e7a0a

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$336.2k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$100.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2240.205$52.79−$4.85
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.1100.029$38.86−$111.14
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.2100.095$9.05−$10.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.2180.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.3440.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.2740.000$0.00−$65.00
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1) · No0.0500.000$0.00−$6.89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.2990.000$0.00−$158.00
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.3550.000$0.00−$189.00
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$21.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 29? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$3.29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.3040.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down0.3550.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 23:19Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
09-29 08:30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.11$150.00
08-28 08:59Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.221309802$7.64
08-28 08:58Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.2242152466$50.00
07-13 14:22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.173$97.74
07-13 14:22Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.388$101.57
07-13 14:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.18$52.94
07-13 06:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.207$98.57
07-12 14:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999972$50.00
07-11 16:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3819999987$100.00
07-11 16:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1769999987$100.00
07-11 16:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
04-10 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4599999844$9.22
04-10 19:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.0899999845$4.34
04-10 19:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.3599999904$13.62