sdfaref
0x88d68d051903e6fdb210504e89587270313c7c14
- Realised P&L
- $-5.84
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $17.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.00at 0.250Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
- +$1.00at 0.500Spread: Texans (-1.5)
- +$0.49at 0.993Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?
- +$0.24at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2025?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:01 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $11.40 |
| 10-08 12:58 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999932 | $6.08 |
| 09-25 09:32 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.70 |
| 09-25 09:30 | Spread: Texans (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 09:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 07-29 11:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 06-09 12:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.00 |
| 06-09 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.20 |
| 06-06 02:08 | Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.00 |
| 05-25 12:08 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.9989999919 | $110.00 |
| 05-21 11:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.00 |
| 05-15 11:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.9989999919 | $110.00 |
| 05-10 03:54 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $110.00 |
| 05-06 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6? | BUY | 0.9989999919 | $110.00 |
| 05-06 06:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |