PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfaref

0x88d68d051903e6fdb210504e89587270313c7c14

Realised P&L
$-5.84
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$17.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9940.994$11.39−$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$5.96−$0.12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 9? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 4? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$2.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 3? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on November 3? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:01Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9939999997$11.40
10-08 12:58Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999932$6.08
09-25 09:32Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$15.70
09-25 09:30Spread: Texans (-1.5)BUY0.5$1.00
08-06 09:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?BUY0.999$16.60
07-29 11:54Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.999$16.60
06-09 12:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10?BUY0.999$108.00
06-09 12:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?BUY0.002$2.20
06-06 02:08Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?BUY0.999$110.00
05-25 12:08Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.9989999919$110.00
05-21 11:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?BUY0.999$110.00
05-15 11:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?BUY0.9989999919$110.00
05-10 03:54Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?BUY0.998$110.00
05-06 06:37Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?BUY0.9989999919$110.00
05-06 06:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?BUY0.003$3.00