0x88cd4f4b5e85ef42f04f63ea3a593b841b496899
0x88cd4f4b5e85ef42f04f63ea3a593b841b496899
- Realised P&L
- $-6.46
- Volume
- $199.11
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $1.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.105 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.13at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$1.41at 0.422Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)
- +$1.15at 0.472Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5
- +$0.86at 0.542San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:51 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:49 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:35 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:16 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:09 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:13 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:00 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:06 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:45 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |