0x88C6a2Ec5f3b896b2c79FC397EE8C2Fc2F177926-1768452532286
0x88c6a2ec5f3b896b2c79fc397ee8c2fc2f177926
- Realised P&L
- $-319.92
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $15.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No | 0.929 | 0.940 | $15.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner · largadosypelados | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January? · No | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs · Yawara Esports | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up | 0.824 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$184.60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.784 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.35at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?
- +$14.10at 0.780Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
- +$10.41at 0.906Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$8.74at 0.927Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$8.46at 0.950Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:58 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9289999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 07:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $19.25 |
| 09-03 14:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5999999978 | $55.01 |
| 09-01 10:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $57.67 |
| 08-29 09:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999974 | $79.64 |
| 08-29 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.984 | $81.44 |
| 08-26 12:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8819999962 | $73.00 |
| 08-25 03:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.555 | $75.92 |
| 08-21 23:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7159999989 | $97.95 |
| 08-20 00:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7839999985 | $98.20 |
| 08-14 10:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $184.60 |
| 07-31 08:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.57 |
| 07-31 08:27 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.90 |
| 07-31 08:27 | Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.10 |