0x9C36ac836fd5d055C13c44D9Bb66B218626f7899-1760086630165
0x88a9329ce7de66e38222c61fd280ca5534297bed
- Realised P&L
- $-1.94
- Volume
- $21.33
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $13.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 74000? · No | 0.830 | 0.855 | $3.09 | +$0.09 |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.915 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.900 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.664 | $2.81 | −$0.12 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.962 | $1.91 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.94at 0.818Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:33 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.08 |
| 10-15 13:12 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.91 |
| 10-15 11:14 | Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9169435074 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 11:13 | Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 74000? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 11:11 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 11:06 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 10:50 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6929999648 | $2.93 |