arishone
0x88a1785fdf046369e9b244fca81bd26bed41a17b
- Realised P&L
- $-931.96
- Volume
- $522.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,533
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,533
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.83at 0.156Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$216.65at 0.269Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?
- +$215.34at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
- +$213.00at 0.172Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$212.92at 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:37 | Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 17:15 | Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.12 |
| 10-31 17:15 | Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-27 18:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.20 |
| 10-27 18:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 10-27 06:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-27 06:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.551 | $5.51 |
| 10-26 06:38 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 06:38 | Will Ethereum hit $6k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.99 |
| 10-26 06:34 | Will AVAX reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 15:41 | Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 10-25 15:39 | Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 10-25 15:17 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $125.00 |
| 10-25 15:16 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 10-25 15:15 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |