PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arishone

0x88a1785fdf046369e9b244fca81bd26bed41a17b

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$446.0k
Markets traded
1,410
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,410
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1430.145$580.07+$9.56
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3540.330$287.75$21.40
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.3780.375$276.49$2.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1590.150$216.28$12.91
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.053$147.62$29.90
Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.225$132.82$20.66
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2340.165$126.36$52.86
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.080$109.44$8.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2350.280$92.40+$14.74
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1470.125$91.62$16.32
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2230.205$87.74$7.49
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5340.460$60.14$9.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.3070.195$58.50$33.50
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1280.150$57.15+$8.24
Will Sui reach $1.20 before 2027? · Yes0.3900.475$57.00+$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:08Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 17?SELL0.007$0.21
09-16 19:08Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 17?SELL0.006$0.90
09-16 18:32Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 17?SELL0.002$0.01
09-16 16:01Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
09-16 15:52Will Solana reach $100 on September 16?BUY0.32$16.00
09-16 15:51Will Solana dip to $95 on September 16?BUY0.4$20.00
09-16 15:49Will Solana reach $105 on September 16?BUY0.041$4.10
09-16 15:48Will Solana dip to $90 on September 16?BUY0.056$5.60
09-16 15:34Will the price of Solana be above $85 on September 17?BUY0.005$0.14
09-16 07:48Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.25$2.50
09-16 05:53Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 16?BUY0.028$0.70
09-16 05:50Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on September 16?BUY0.022$0.55
09-16 05:45Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?BUY0.07$7.00
09-15 19:34Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?BUY0.07$7.00
09-15 19:33Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20?BUY0.061$67.10