arishone
0x88a1785fdf046369e9b244fca81bd26bed41a17b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $446.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,410
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,410
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.65at 0.269Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 21?
- +$215.34at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
- +$212.92at 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?
- +$185.30at 0.073Will XRP dip to $1.30 on September 15?
- +$180.13at 0.117Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:08 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 17? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.21 |
| 09-16 19:08 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 17? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.90 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:52 | Will Solana reach $100 on September 16? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 09-16 15:51 | Will Solana dip to $95 on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 15:49 | Will Solana reach $105 on September 16? | BUY | 0.041 | $4.10 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Will Solana dip to $90 on September 16? | BUY | 0.056 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 15:34 | Will the price of Solana be above $85 on September 17? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.14 |
| 09-16 07:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 05:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 16? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.70 |
| 09-16 05:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on September 16? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.55 |
| 09-16 05:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 19:33 | Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.061 | $67.10 |