Arianitt
0x88a16f23b7ccaa064f9cb38fcd9542d76a040205
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $94.9k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $618.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.340 | $362.13 | +$126.56 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 20? · Yes | 0.514 | 0.880 | $256.69 | +$106.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.64at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET
- +$248.10at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$246.92at 0.551Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9AM ET
- +$233.55at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?
- +$178.73at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999936 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 21:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 21:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999947 | $35.00 |
| 10-20 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $35.00 |
| 10-20 19:33 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $96.82 |
| 10-20 19:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.222 | $138.75 |
| 10-20 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $18.52 |
| 10-20 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-20 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999963 | $60.00 |
| 10-20 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999965 | $35.00 |
| 10-20 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $63.07 |
| 10-20 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $30.00 |