PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x889779ef9097042e944133fc564df850442fc4bf

Realised P&L
$237.94
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$137.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.485$89.08$0.92
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.205$48.81$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:44Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999992$50.00
09-17 14:52Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999984$90.00
05-30 05:31Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.481657957$107.84
05-30 05:31Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$87.22
05-30 05:31Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.7204536382$79.41
05-26 18:32Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7099999949$38.94
05-26 18:27Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7099999984$39.32
05-13 16:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3802052392$100.49
05-13 16:08Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4839704657$108.36
05-13 02:12Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?SELL0.78$109.45
05-10 15:55Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY0.6414490072$90.01
05-10 13:37Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0472946649$8.03
05-10 13:33Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?SELL0.708075073$82.43
04-26 06:34Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?BUY0.6899999997$80.33
04-24 11:23Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?BUY0.209999985$9.95