PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

UN-Sure

0x88911ee8caf1aabd510bd7d427f7955b7a24b5fc

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$910.4k
Markets traded
7,337
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,337
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9890.988$289.86$0.44
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.9800.981$103.40+$0.11
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.9570.974$101.66+$1.74
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9900.993$71.44+$0.16
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9860.986$61.09$0.01
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.9220.940$58.28+$1.10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9900.991$49.52+$0.03
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9910.994$47.68+$0.13
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? · Yes0.9770.975$46.79$0.11
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.9760.977$44.69+$0.01
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9450.941$39.02$0.17
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? · No0.9400.945$37.30+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16? · No0.9800.990$29.69+$0.30
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.8700.860$25.80$0.30
Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil? · No0.9680.983$20.64+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:23Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.986$19.72
09-16 10:20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.95$5.69
09-16 03:45Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.973$5.84
09-16 02:23Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.985$5.91
09-16 02:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.972$5.82
09-16 02:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16?BUY0.99$11.87
09-16 01:58Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.98$3.46
09-16 00:28Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.979$5.87
09-16 00:24Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?BUY0.989$11.87
09-16 00:19Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.831$9.97
09-15 21:11Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.013$1.30
09-15 20:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16?BUY0.95$8.46
09-15 20:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15?BUY0.93$5.57
09-15 20:31Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.946$5.68
09-15 19:02Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.974$5.83