UN-Sure
0x88911ee8caf1aabd510bd7d427f7955b7a24b5fc
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $973.3k
- Markets traded
- 8,336
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,336
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.23at 0.569Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
- +$81.87at 0.921Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
- +$74.99at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?
- +$67.56at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
- +$60.85at 0.824Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:18 | Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.93 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.984 | $110.21 |
| 11-01 22:27 | Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1? | BUY | 0.9891220546 | $79.34 |
| 11-01 22:22 | Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 11-01 22:20 | Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 11-01 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $32.70 |
| 11-01 22:14 | Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? | BUY | 0.983 | $5.90 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9853666878 | $15.56 |
| 11-01 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $52.42 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.50 |
| 11-01 21:53 | House control favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.49 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.978 | $22.25 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.978 | $5.87 |
| 11-01 21:51 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |