PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

UN-Sure

0x88911ee8caf1aabd510bd7d427f7955b7a24b5fc

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$973.3k
Markets traded
8,336
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,336
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? · No0.8520.845$234.06−$2.07
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.8560.930$227.05+$18.06
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? · Yes0.8900.937$187.59+$9.37
Texas Senate favorite on November 2? · Talarico0.9830.986$138.78+$0.45
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.9640.970$138.16+$0.84
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? · Yes0.9010.974$125.82+$9.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 1? · No0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.8810.945$93.31+$6.33
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2? · No0.9890.995$85.37+$0.45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9400.945$85.03+$0.45
Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1? · No0.9890.986$83.97−$0.26
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · No0.9880.978$73.16−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? · Yes0.9880.996$64.71+$0.47
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · No0.9940.971$64.09−$1.50
Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1? · No0.7820.820$55.75+$2.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:18Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1?BUY0.89$5.34
11-01 22:45Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?BUY0.995$14.93
11-01 22:29Texas Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.984$110.21
11-01 22:27Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?BUY0.9891220546$79.34
11-01 22:22Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?BUY0.84$84.00
11-01 22:20Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?BUY0.84$5.04
11-01 22:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 2?BUY0.991$32.70
11-01 22:14Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?BUY0.983$5.90
11-01 22:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 2?BUY0.9853666878$15.56
11-01 21:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?BUY0.989$52.42
11-01 21:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.995$32.50
11-01 21:53House control favorite on November 2?BUY0.998$7.49
11-01 21:52Texas Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.978$22.25
11-01 21:52Texas Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.978$5.87
11-01 21:51Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$4.26