UN-Sure
0x88911ee8caf1aabd510bd7d427f7955b7a24b5fc
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $910.4k
- Markets traded
- 7,337
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,337
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$344.44at 0.733Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 28?
- +$240.46at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?
- +$186.29at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 2?
- +$99.89at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 11?
- +$88.86at 0.712Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 09-16 10:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.69 |
| 09-16 03:45 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $5.84 |
| 09-16 02:23 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.91 |
| 09-16 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $5.82 |
| 09-16 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 09-16 01:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.46 |
| 09-16 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.87 |
| 09-16 00:24 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $11.87 |
| 09-16 00:19 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.831 | $9.97 |
| 09-15 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.46 |
| 09-15 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.57 |
| 09-15 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $5.68 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $5.83 |