PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ArathGM

0x888bbae2ac165a249175e9e7f3b1d8c691d4a1e4

Realised P&L
$-13.04
Volume
$628.53
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$6.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4100.355$2.60$0.40
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4901.000$2.04+$1.04
Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.6101.000$1.64+$0.64
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.3300.001$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$8.55
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$4.00
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-09? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$1.50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto Caniato · Mika Brunold0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 23:43Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-19 23:43Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-19 23:43Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-19 23:27Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-19 23:26Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.00
09-19 23:26Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-19 23:25Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-19 16:50Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-19 16:49Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-19 16:49Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5599999328$2.00
09-19 02:17Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.32$1.00
09-19 01:56Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.4099999535$3.00
09-18 23:25Will Racing Club win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-18 23:25Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-18 18:48Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.549999945$2.00