ro07b07
0x888b8fce359bffae73c6ab8c46cb9e4282b81bb8
- Realised P&L
- $-97.73
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,932
- Open portfolio
- $0.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,932
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.45 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.29 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.07 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$3.60at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$3.60at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 27?
- +$3.45at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
- +$2.71at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 04-28 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $5.85 |
| 04-28 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $6.44 |
| 04-28 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 04-28 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.90 |
| 04-28 06:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $6.68 |
| 04-28 06:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 04-28 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.89 |
| 04-28 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $6.52 |
| 04-27 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $5.78 |
| 04-27 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $6.44 |
| 04-27 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.90 |
| 04-27 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $6.60 |
| 04-26 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $6.60 |
| 04-26 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $5.92 |