Shergi
0x888a6acf931571367c8fdedb5ee04b0eaf4b5db2
- Realised P&L
- $656.93
- Volume
- $112.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $614.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.485 | $614.98 | +$221.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.87at 0.751Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$85.59at 0.988Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$51.91at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$34.39at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$20.41at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 09:19 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $389.46 |
| 04-29 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $108.30 |
| 02-09 21:16 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $118.87 |
| 02-09 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 02-08 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.2k |
| 02-06 21:29 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $470.53 |
| 02-06 21:28 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.0k |
| 02-06 09:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 February 2-8? | BUY | 0.997 | $299.10 |
| 02-06 09:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.86 |
| 02-06 04:50 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.1k |
| 02-04 21:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.1k |
| 02-04 21:00 | Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on February 7? | BUY | 0.993 | $141.86 |
| 02-04 09:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999901 | $9.82 |
| 02-03 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999671 | $20.53 |
| 02-02 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.2k |