PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x888641410EDa37958F96E5774305257F8EF1c7D0-1774308044595

0x888641410eda37958f96e5774305257f8ef1c7d0

Realised P&L
$-22.43
Volume
$32.5k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$8.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? · Yes0.1400.006$8.62−$176.99
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? · Up0.0780.000$0.00−$72.20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 29? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? · Yes0.5080.000$0.00−$110.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$37.00
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$72.00
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$16.91
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 19:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.1399999999$185.61
09-18 17:25Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2199999995$9.00
09-18 17:24UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.08$10.00
09-18 17:23Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2674975139$18.00
09-18 17:20Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?BUY0.3699999969$40.00
08-16 22:33Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.5399999881$20.00
08-16 18:49Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.5299999887$16.00
08-14 17:53Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?SELL0.26$144.44
08-12 18:21Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.3599999992$200.00
08-12 17:57Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?SELL0.8$266.66
08-12 17:56Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?SELL0.67$95.61
08-09 19:37Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?BUY0.0595620373$8.50
08-09 19:36Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.1199999975$40.00
07-27 00:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?BUY0.109999998$44.42
07-14 13:04President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0530000003$11.46