Mushy-Transport
0x8884545796ce2b6fa7c0ea667dc3b3926ace84ee
- Realised P&L
- $278.64
- Volume
- $111.1k
- Markets traded
- 439
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded439
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.005 | $5.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.007 | $2.80 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.16at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$43.56at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17?
- +$40.96at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
- +$40.63at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
- +$37.35at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 16:51 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.36 |
| 08-23 07:30 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 08-23 07:29 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.56 |
| 08-20 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.40 |
| 08-19 05:44 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 08-16 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-14 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 08-14 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-13 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.17 |
| 08-13 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.60 |
| 08-12 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-12 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-12 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 08-12 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.18 |
| 08-12 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.54 |