Sibasi
0x886eff75b3c917e4028e1d7526d3b86ea5f12736
- Realised P&L
- $448.87
- Volume
- $128.0k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $464.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.485 | $464.45 | +$129.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$39.98at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$27.27at 0.997Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
- +$23.04at 0.984Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$22.29at 0.931Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 20:08 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3498219563 | $335.00 |
| 05-14 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $306.43 |
| 05-12 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9875454545 | $325.89 |
| 05-03 09:12 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $322.74 |
| 03-27 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999976 | $288.02 |
| 03-21 14:20 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.992 | $285.72 |
| 02-27 09:26 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $244.84 |
| 02-16 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $242.65 |
| 02-11 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $240.28 |
| 02-09 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $238.80 |
| 02-01 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $119.52 |
| 01-21 21:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.4k |
| 12-06 11:08 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.3k |
| 12-02 21:08 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.7k |
| 12-02 10:06 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |