PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

userme

0x88688d774013feb3c66eb70f49f8274f331b0ec3

Realised P&L
$-186.16
Volume
$220.6k
Markets traded
1,808
Open portfolio
$433.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,808
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? · Yes0.9981.000$235.65+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8? · No0.9991.000$161.00+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 8? · No0.9981.000$36.62+$0.06
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11AM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$19.50
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 6PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$3.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.0830.000$0.00−$2.17
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$4.70
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$0.06
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$3.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6530.000$0.00−$10.06
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$9.30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$10.04
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$19.50
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$19.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.999$34.97
10-07 07:56Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 7?BUY0.998$39.91
10-03 05:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.998$838.32
10-01 05:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1?SELL0.999$31.19
09-30 05:26Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.7782811963$22.64
09-25 09:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.998$1.58
09-25 05:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 25?BUY0.999$172.28
09-21 05:34Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.998$160.08
09-21 05:31Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.998$673.11
09-21 05:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.999$160.15
09-20 16:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.996$260.43
09-20 16:15Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.995$570.66
09-20 16:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.98$14.97
09-20 16:05Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.9498006334$227.91
09-20 16:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.971$28.41