zhar
0x886463a4dea9af5d5f09d77b16181d31113f5bee
- Realised P&L
- $-76.60
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $27.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes | 0.788 | 0.215 | $27.26 | −$72.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.67at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$-0.53at 0.397Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$-50.00at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$-50.00at 0.360Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$-50.00at 0.147Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1466341573 | $50.00 |
| 02-19 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 02-19 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.393 | $49.47 |
| 02-19 06:01 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3971754612 | $50.00 |
| 02-19 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 02-19 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 23:01 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.7885754188 | $100.00 |