mbmbbbmbv
0x8861bcb388f3cd0a4bde4553b02ffe7f57b039f7
- Realised P&L
- $31.8k
- Volume
- $160.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $74.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.910 | $74.06 | +$25.23 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.9kat 0.737Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- +$5.9kat 0.809Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5999999975 | $48.83 |
| 10-06 19:54 | Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.7285684397 | $152.68 |
| 10-06 19:54 | Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.7265715003 | $71.3k |
| 10-06 03:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 03:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 22:53 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.8k |
| 09-29 04:51 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8021935702 | $12.3k |
| 09-29 04:45 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7993885605 | $12.3k |