naetae
0x8861b2a4bb699805c08cf5b5b82bdd272f83c66d
- Realised P&L
- $-144.56
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $40.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.630 | 0.625 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| Cowboys vs. Packers · Packers | 0.510 | 1.000 | $5.88 | +$2.88 |
| Kings vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.620 | 0.615 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.560 | 0.555 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Hornets | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.490 | 0.485 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards · Bucks | 0.360 | 0.355 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Bulls vs. Hornets · Bulls | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers · 76ers | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets · Pelicans | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bulls vs. Nets · Bulls | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers · Bulls | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.56at 0.332Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$15.50at 0.245Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$10.61at 0.184Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$6.68at 0.310Celtics vs. Cavaliers
- +$6.19at 0.525Clippers vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 02:29 | Kings vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 02:28 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 02:28 | Bucks vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 21:54 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 21:53 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 21:53 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 20:47 | Bears vs. Falcons | SELL | 0.999 | $5.75 |
| 10-18 20:46 | Panthers vs. Eagles | SELL | 0.999 | $9.82 |
| 10-18 18:30 | Steelers vs. Buccaneers | SELL | 0.19 | $1.02 |
| 10-18 16:10 | Texans vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.3 | $1.04 |
| 10-18 15:02 | Texans vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 14:54 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 14:53 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 14:52 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 14:50 | Steelers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |