forecastication4
0x885ffdf360e5b0b6e6acb963fb3f8ba2344c8ed9
- Realised P&L
- $55.9k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 2,783
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,783
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · SSG Landers | 0.514 | 0.720 | $1.6k | +$459.74 |
| Will Club Blooming win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.340 | 1.000 | $850.67 | +$561.25 |
| Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 1.000 | $607.19 | +$346.10 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · KT Wiz | 0.490 | 0.545 | $438.73 | +$44.53 |
| Will Club Aurora win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.703 | 1.000 | $419.67 | +$124.67 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.485 | $344.35 | −$10.65 |
| Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: Neither team to score first? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $300.00 | +$18.00 |
| Robert Stock: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.840 | 0.755 | $293.69 | −$33.06 |
| Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky · Washington Mystics | 0.560 | 0.525 | $226.80 | −$15.12 |
| Spread: Lions (-13.5) · Bills | 0.910 | 0.935 | $192.27 | +$5.14 |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) · Seattle Storm | 0.460 | 0.455 | $182.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.385 | $164.01 | −$19.17 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.450 | 0.455 | $131.04 | +$1.44 |
| Will FC Universitario win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.800 | 1.000 | $118.94 | +$23.74 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions | 0.590 | 0.670 | $102.26 | +$12.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.447Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$5.5kat 0.604Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5
- +$4.7kat 0.413Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
- +$4.4kat 0.421Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$4.3kat 0.550San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:49 | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $140.03 |
| 09-01 18:19 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 09-01 18:19 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 08-09 16:29 | Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 08-09 01:41 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $123.84 |
| 08-09 00:58 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.35 | $30.33 |
| 08-05 23:29 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-05 23:29 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.61 | $2.64 |
| 08-05 23:29 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-05 23:28 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.5797254557 | $26.39 |
| 08-05 23:28 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.6 | $3.60 |
| 08-05 23:28 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.61 | $5.69 |
| 08-05 23:27 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | SELL | 0.68 | $21.30 |
| 07-23 20:35 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $259.35 |