PolyBot

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Traders

arsan

0x88561c643af70704fedb62a431564cac64d03f5b

Realised P&L
$81.92
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7? · Yes0.0130.013$0.93−$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 7? · Yes0.0160.003$0.19−$0.81
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 6? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 16:22Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7?BUY0.013462574$1.00
10-05 19:57Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 7?BUY0.016$1.00
10-03 04:32Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 6?BUY0.01$1.00
09-29 15:39Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 2?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-27 19:59Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-24 16:19Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 21-27?BUY0.006930693$1.00
09-23 14:24Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 26?BUY0.006$1.00
09-21 12:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 24?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
09-19 16:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 22?BUY0.0023047375$1.00
09-18 14:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 20?BUY0.0022346369$1.00
09-17 08:49Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20?BUY0.013$2.00
09-14 20:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.0079796121$2.00
09-14 20:32Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 14-20?BUY0.001$1.00
09-11 19:19Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13?BUY0.0013413771$1.00
09-11 09:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 11?BUY0.002$1.00