arsan
0x88561c643af70704fedb62a431564cac64d03f5b
- Realised P&L
- $81.92
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.93at 0.010Will Ethereum reach $2,300 August 17-23?
- +$36.21at 0.024Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7? | BUY | 0.013462574 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 7? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.006930693 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0023047375 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0022346369 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0079796121 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.0013413771 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 09:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 11? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |