0x8855457a858dbe94de52d4274cd7e626b2ff1f37
0x8855457a858dbe94de52d4274cd7e626b2ff1f37
- Realised P&L
- $-11.60
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $13.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$9.28at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$8.07at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$8.07at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 23:10 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:09 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 23:09 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:56 | Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 20:40 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:37 | Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:45 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 17:44 | Will Albania win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:43 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 17:42 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:38 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 17:39 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:42 | Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:41 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |