Sadmanx
0x88532634302080354c66f69102cb5c284775e2b4
- Realised P&L
- $581.48
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.78at 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.71at 0.174Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 1°C or below on September 16?
- +$17.24at 0.585Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 28?
- +$14.79at 0.066Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C on September 11?
- +$14.03at 0.943Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:50 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9252210799 | $166.50 |
| 10-13 04:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9729847319 | $84.76 |
| 10-13 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.9197571161 | $191.61 |
| 10-13 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $200.00 |
| 10-12 16:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.9848017535 | $101.09 |
| 10-12 16:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $154.03 |
| 10-11 21:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9718474951 | $150.00 |
| 10-11 16:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $154.99 |
| 10-11 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9741550689 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 21:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9658534652 | $150.00 |
| 10-09 23:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 10-09 22:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0097242589 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 12:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 10-07 22:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.94 | $235.00 |
| 10-07 22:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.980381859 | $100.41 |