kiemi
0x884c31b2aea6a571860dbe803344547fdd022ee9
- Realised P&L
- $-186.50
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$21.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.11at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?
- +$29.69at 0.524Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?
- +$24.63at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?
- +$22.47at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?
- +$21.31at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3981273408 | $21.26 |
| 06-30 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $20.68 |
| 06-30 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 06-30 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-30 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $42.16 |
| 06-29 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $17.10 |
| 06-29 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $17.00 |
| 06-29 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.769 | $7.14 |
| 06-29 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.385 | $12.09 |
| 06-29 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 06-28 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.96 |
| 06-27 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.56 |
| 06-27 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.96 |
| 06-27 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.38 | $14.06 |
| 06-27 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.72 |