0x8845c8fc9c9e5e75083B7C33910CdEA0AdcD605C-1781475176831
0x8845c8fc9c9e5e75083b7c33910cdea0adcd605c
- Realised P&L
- $-39.52
- Volume
- $739.20
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $27.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? · No | 0.860 | 0.945 | $9.45 | +$0.85 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.925 | $9.25 | +$0.65 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.888 | 0.869 | $8.69 | −$0.20 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-08? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
| Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? · No | 0.762 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.94 |
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will AE Kifisia FC vs. AEK Athens end in a draw? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 3 - 2 Venezia FC? · No | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.32at 0.412LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
- +$2.44at 0.507Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$2.08at 0.537Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.62at 0.837LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.18at 0.765Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 22:37 | Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | SELL | 0.469057971 | $2.59 |
| 09-08 22:37 | Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.4709433394 | $2.60 |
| 09-08 22:08 | Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5099999356 | $2.85 |
| 09-07 01:41 | Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.95 |
| 09-07 01:39 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $1.11 |
| 09-07 01:38 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2099999716 | $4.95 |
| 09-07 00:34 | Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7622999847 | $4.95 |
| 09-07 00:33 | Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.52 |
| 09-07 00:32 | Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.1177358373 | $7.92 |
| 09-06 20:48 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.92 |
| 09-06 20:45 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.629999968 | $3.35 |
| 09-06 19:07 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.46 |
| 09-06 19:07 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.6099999839 | $6.80 |
| 09-06 18:56 | Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.31 | $3.23 |
| 09-06 18:56 | Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2399999424 | $2.50 |