sawan4
0x8842b3d569f49f38c61d10d2da9e78f826d6023c
- Realised P&L
- $-86.58
- Volume
- $460.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,906
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,906
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.91at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23?
- +$158.63at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?
- +$106.95at 0.003Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 14?
- +$97.97at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$94.78at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.62 |
| 10-18 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.14 |
| 10-18 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.119 | $0.59 |
| 10-18 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.35 |
| 10-18 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 10-18 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 10-17 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.30 |
| 10-17 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.28 |
| 10-17 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.62 |
| 09-28 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0028399496 | $0.14 |
| 09-21 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.46 |
| 09-15 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.37 |