PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x884215d3F189b3De644d2f1cBfAEDd25d4fbdfA7-1773689972912

0x884215d3f189b3de644d2f1cbfaedd25d4fbdfa7

Realised P&L
$465.75
Volume
$185.8k
Markets traded
3,286
Open portfolio
$10.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,286
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.5150.575$5.86+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4? · Yes0.5000.956$4.87+$2.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 22? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 10? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$7.71
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 3? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? · Yes0.3540.000$0.00−$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 6? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$1.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 1? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$15.70
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 3? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 23:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.5199999843$2.65
10-03 16:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.5099999215$2.60
10-02 06:40Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4?BUY0.5$2.55
10-01 14:17Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.2099999695$1.10
10-01 13:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.2199999885$1.15
10-01 10:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.5599999686$2.85
09-30 07:13Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?BUY0.4199999687$2.15
09-30 00:01Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.3799999961$1.95
09-29 06:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.4399999452$2.25
09-29 05:12Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
08-31 18:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 2?BUY0.0961094879$5.00
08-28 14:03Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 30?BUY0.16$4.22
08-28 12:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 30?BUY0.2469199179$4.81
08-28 03:40Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 28?BUY0.57$1.99
08-25 13:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 25?BUY0.74$2.00