yuanhua45
0x883d460d363b4f8fb298f9fef3ebb8de13e3c374
- Realised P&L
- $-171.83
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $91.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.50at 0.639Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?
- +$48.00at 0.520Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
- +$46.00at 0.620Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$45.00at 0.550Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26?
- +$41.50at 0.585Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 13:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7420004001 | $37.09 |
| 07-30 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-23 13:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.15 | $52.50 |
| 07-15 12:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 07-03 13:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 06-11 13:40 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 06-11 13:40 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.921 | $27.63 |
| 06-11 13:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | SELL | 0.975 | $97.50 |
| 06-10 09:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 06-05 13:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 05-11 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 05-04 01:06 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |