0x88299d3457264fa3122da515c968d22d2e6d06e0
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $301.1k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.191Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.365France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$1.2kat 0.184Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?
- +$1.0kat 0.247Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$751.09at 0.119Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 09:37 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0275932284 | $38.96 |
| 08-19 02:43 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 02:42 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0182979008 | $162.22 |
| 08-19 02:41 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0353685664 | $105.92 |
| 08-19 02:40 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.2237520062 | $92.01 |
| 08-17 08:05 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0346740738 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 08:04 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 03:11 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.007 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 03:11 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 03:10 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 03:10 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 02:29 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 02:28 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0419999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 02:28 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0369999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 02:28 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0349813371 | $100.00 |