0x88299d3457264fa3122da515c968d22d2e6d06e0
0x88299d3457264fa3122da515c968d22d2e6d06e0
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $357.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.191Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.365France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$1.2kat 0.184Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?
- +$1.0kat 0.247Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$878.44at 0.310Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:51 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1869393225 | $46.00 |
| 10-31 07:50 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1326965191 | $53.90 |
| 10-31 07:50 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.066588481 | $43.04 |
| 10-30 01:51 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 23:51 | Will Vitinha win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.064427953 | $12.50 |
| 10-29 23:48 | Will Desire Doue win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0796385542 | $13.22 |
| 10-29 23:03 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0977623787 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 22:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.43 | $410.88 |
| 10-29 12:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.28 | $918.00 |
| 10-29 07:50 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 07:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.28 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 20:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2720987746 | $260.00 |
| 10-26 20:18 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 13:06 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0485846516 | $138.89 |