milkscumcrees
0x8820e14904487b306c8724f7b93fc5294e5e5497
- Realised P&L
- $-252.14
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $39.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.065 | $38.22 | −$244.02 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.055 | $1.15 | −$6.10 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.02at 0.934Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$7.41at 0.748Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$6.67at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$0.82at 0.708Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
- +$0.23at 0.991Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 06:49 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.25 |
| 07-08 06:49 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.28 |
| 06-10 11:52 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2220208083 | $5.55 |
| 01-10 11:09 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $438.22 |
| 01-10 11:09 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $438.67 |
| 01-10 11:08 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $438.67 |
| 01-10 11:07 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $439.12 |
| 01-10 11:06 | Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $439.12 |
| 01-10 11:05 | Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $439.56 |
| 01-10 11:01 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $439.56 |
| 01-10 11:00 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $440.00 |
| 01-10 10:59 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $440.00 |
| 01-10 10:59 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $440.44 |
| 01-10 10:58 | Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $440.45 |
| 01-10 10:57 | Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $440.89 |