hello123123
0x881be7d2c8af74a7e447f366cfaf681122909893
- Realised P&L
- $-31.0k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 683
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded683
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) · Al Hilal Saudi Club | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.26 | −$99.74 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) · Chargers | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.062Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.579Biden drops out in July?
- +$4.6kat 0.735Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$4.2kat 0.132Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
- +$4.2kat 0.565Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 20:00 | Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.73 |
| 10-19 19:43 | Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.500999996 | $45.00 |
| 10-19 19:37 | Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 00:28 | Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $99.00 |
| 10-18 23:20 | Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 22:17 | Bills vs. Raiders | SELL | 0.1890423074 | $28.64 |
| 10-18 22:10 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 21:26 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.1 | $44.54 |
| 10-18 21:25 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.1614128364 | $35.00 |
| 10-18 21:16 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $32.00 |
| 10-18 20:24 | Saints vs. Giants | SELL | 0.999 | $223.73 |
| 10-18 20:21 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.7679999977 | $172.00 |
| 10-18 20:11 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 20:10 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 03:37 | Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.48 | $422.71 |