0x8818D81653a790e056100dA8dA1525A5d589f8Ac-1783222584060
0x8818d81653a790e056100da8da1525a5d589f8ac
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $337.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,688
- Open portfolio
- $280.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,688
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.845 | $84.50 | +$4.50 |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · Alliance | 0.550 | 0.545 | $81.75 | −$0.75 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · 3DMAX | 0.490 | 0.485 | $72.75 | −$0.75 |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · magic | 0.730 | 0.725 | $41.33 | −$0.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.517Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
- +$589.11at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$527.61at 0.864Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$513.26at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$444.23at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:07 | Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $41.61 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.49 | $73.50 |
| 09-25 00:04 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 09-24 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.709999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5058199031 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 23:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4436732181 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 23:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8183632731 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.579999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 16:00 | Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | BUY | 0.83 | $124.50 |
| 09-24 16:00 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-24 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |