evro100
0x8818ce295b5e54556353801bd07f22d9d3a3d1ae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.90
- Volume
- $425.13
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $13.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.165 | $3.30 | −$1.10 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$1.30 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$0.70 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes | 0.838 | 0.840 | $1.68 | +$0.00 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · No | 0.253 | 0.161 | $1.59 | −$0.92 |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $1.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava? · No | 0.210 | 0.090 | $0.28 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.60at 0.110Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
- +$7.40at 0.130Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- +$6.80at 0.160Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?
- +$4.02at 0.232Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
- +$3.79at 0.310Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 65%-70%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:40 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-05 08:11 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.788 | $11.82 |
| 10-05 04:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 65%-70%? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.78 |
| 10-05 01:26 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.43211 | $8.64 |