BeginnersLuck2
0x881713021866ab84467b2b552b6cd7a51ac9cda8
- Realised P&L
- $30.8k
- Volume
- $7.21M
- Markets traded
- 14,729
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,729
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.624Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.4kat 0.333Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.3kat 0.566Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-01?
- +$1.3kat 0.450Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-25?
- +$639.18at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:22 | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.163776492 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:15 | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 3 - 0 CA Mineiro? | BUY | 0.845 | $67.60 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 4 - 0 CA Mineiro? | BUY | 0.982 | $136.38 |
| 11-01 21:54 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.38 | $12.54 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $186.81 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $539.46 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.29 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $799.20 |