PolyBot

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Traders

BeginnersLuck2

0x881713021866ab84467b2b552b6cd7a51ac9cda8

Realised P&L
$26.8k
Volume
$6.72M
Markets traded
12,856
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,856
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? · Yes0.9991.000$719.57+$0.61
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.8790.835$624.57$32.98
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · No0.9420.954$527.37+$6.73
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.8280.835$515.70+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 17? · No0.9971.000$504.75+$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17? · No0.9671.000$425.79+$13.79
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8880.820$340.74$28.34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 17? · No0.9991.000$305.40+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17? · No0.9991.000$304.32+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18? · No0.9891.000$299.85+$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? · No0.9781.000$287.55+$6.23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9020.921$276.30+$5.70
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? · No0.9430.959$267.52+$4.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7740.457$256.78$178.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? · Yes0.4921.000$209.51+$106.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.99$3.93
09-18 00:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.998$9.98
09-18 00:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.998$3.49
09-18 00:06Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.999$49.95
09-18 00:01Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 18?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 23:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 18?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 22:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 22:29Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 17?BUY0.999$305.24
09-17 22:27Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.999$469.22
09-17 22:24Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.999$304.17
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.99$0.47
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.9895291113$17.82
09-17 22:21Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17?BUY0.999$148.85
09-17 22:21Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17?BUY0.999$250.75
09-17 21:59Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.998$49.90