0x880d90E9365033CDab150834Ce3BBD4F2546f656-1720372394983
0x880d90e9365033cdab150834ce3bbd4f2546f656
- Realised P&L
- $-39.67
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $162.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.024 | $116.69 | +$16.69 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $45.84 | −$54.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$0.92at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$0.81at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$0.63at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$-0.04at 0.520Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.41 |
| 05-14 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $1.63 |
| 05-14 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.81 |
| 05-14 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 22:03 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0088267071 | $6.11 |
| 05-07 21:56 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0205674949 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 21:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.89 |
| 12-11 09:58 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999353 | $1.93 |
| 07-17 20:55 | Biden nominated by July 21? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.14 |