aaaaaaash
0x8802b7f8636d8fd422c2cfc521e386af70e3dc66
- Realised P&L
- $16.41
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $18.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.18at 0.227Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$21.69at 0.060Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
- +$18.36at 0.081Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
- +$7.78at 0.689Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$6.00at 0.420Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:19 | Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026? | BUY | 0.182443199 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 18:03 | Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.1737451724 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 13:44 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.2599999397 | $2.50 |
| 09-03 22:42 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:29 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:29 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 10:16 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-14 10:15 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-12 15:07 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 07-12 15:01 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | SELL | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 07-10 11:47 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.70 |
| 07-10 11:42 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 07-10 11:30 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.075 | $7.50 |
| 07-03 11:39 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.9136 | $45.68 |
| 06-23 16:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.965 | $9.65 |