PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x8802b7f8636d8fd422c2cfc521e386af70e3dc66

Realised P&L
$16.41
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$18.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026? · Yes0.1820.235$6.44+$1.44
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? · Yes0.2900.245$4.90−$0.90
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2500.210$4.20−$0.80
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4000.115$1.44−$3.56
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.075$1.32−$1.68
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.50
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.92
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:19Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?BUY0.182443199$5.00
10-08 18:03Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?BUY0.1737451724$5.00
09-04 13:44Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.2599999397$2.50
09-03 22:42Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4$5.00
09-03 22:29Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?BUY0.25$5.00
09-03 22:29Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999609$3.00
08-14 10:16Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?SELL0.999$9.99
08-14 10:15Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?SELL0.999$19.98
07-12 15:07Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?BUY0.078$1.56
07-12 15:01Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?SELL0.82$41.00
07-10 11:47Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?BUY0.9$20.70
07-10 11:42Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.56$5.60
07-10 11:30Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.075$7.50
07-03 11:39Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.9136$45.68
06-23 16:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.965$9.65