PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DerPatriot

0x87ff41be5fd7aafe97095d21580be122a73783f1

Realised P&L
$500.96
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$39.07

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9300.967$19.33+$0.73
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.955$9.54+$1.25
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4700.285$5.70−$3.70
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2300.355$4.05+$1.43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4800.045$0.45−$4.35
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 15:46Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?BUY0.48$2.40
10-15 09:51Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.2$4.00
04-09 12:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.33$16.50
03-10 09:22U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?SELL0.07$0.60
03-08 22:20Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL0.8$42.81
03-04 20:30Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
03-04 20:23Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?SELL0.26$1.30
03-04 20:19Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?SELL0.14$2.94
03-03 21:30Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?SELL0.04$0.31
03-03 21:26Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.58
03-03 19:15Nothing Ever Happens: MarchBUY0.59$5.90
03-02 19:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.48$4.80
02-28 14:30U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?SELL0.05$2.98
02-28 08:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.83$8.30
02-21 09:50Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?SELL0.36$5.44