DerPatriot
0x87ff41be5fd7aafe97095d21580be122a73783f1
- Realised P&L
- $500.96
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $39.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.967 | $19.33 | +$0.73 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.955 | $9.54 | +$1.25 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.285 | $5.70 | −$3.70 |
| Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.355 | $4.05 | +$1.43 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.045 | $0.45 | −$4.35 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.04at 0.217Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
- +$57.41at 0.119Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
- +$52.17at 0.050Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?
- +$50.37at 0.180Will Trump sue AOC before March?
- +$48.00at 0.420Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:46 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-15 09:51 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 04-09 12:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 03-10 09:22 | U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.60 |
| 03-08 22:20 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $42.81 |
| 03-04 20:30 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 03-04 20:23 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 03-04 20:19 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.94 |
| 03-03 21:30 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.31 |
| 03-03 21:26 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.58 |
| 03-03 19:15 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 03-02 19:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 02-28 14:30 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.98 |
| 02-28 08:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 02-21 09:50 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.44 |