SongXiaoFeng
0x87fa53673832074b74dc347688936e401e3a7464
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $516.2k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $40.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.947Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$850.73at 0.812Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$847.23at 0.339Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$655.87at 0.860EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$471.92at 0.912Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:45 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $93.83 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $46.20 |
| 09-12 12:28 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8945454545 | $49.20 |
| 09-12 12:28 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8800389068 | $185.48 |
| 09-12 12:27 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8893175304 | $195.46 |
| 09-12 12:26 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.985046701 | $1.3k |
| 08-21 09:03 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8647254692 | $508.23 |
| 08-13 10:49 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.49 |
| 07-29 02:29 | Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8736937256 | $73.94 |
| 07-29 01:49 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.0k |
| 07-28 10:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.5k |
| 07-28 07:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.8k |
| 07-27 02:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 07-27 02:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $192.60 |
| 07-24 09:34 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3991975 | $79.84 |