65yrt
0x87f96d04f28fa44cbbe11e5fc1a8a81856cf70cf
- Realised P&L
- $6.29
- Volume
- $109.79
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.230 | $0.90 | −$0.97 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.450 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Miami Marlins | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.54 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.22at 0.270Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$2.74at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.04at 0.580Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$1.74at 0.450Golden Knights vs. Predators
- +$1.64at 0.522Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:26 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4799999179 | $1.87 |
| 08-30 00:09 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499998774 | $1.06 |
| 08-22 18:10 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:12 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399999273 | $2.18 |
| 06-27 12:37 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5899999176 | $2.22 |
| 06-21 16:13 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6799999474 | $1.55 |
| 06-20 16:34 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.679999935 | $2.93 |
| 05-17 15:34 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.725999632 | $1.59 |
| 05-16 08:52 | Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5299997951 | $1.19 |
| 05-15 17:51 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6199999193 | $1.23 |
| 05-15 12:41 | Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4699999153 | $1.72 |
| 05-15 10:23 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4299999672 | $2.75 |
| 05-14 18:39 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 05-10 13:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 05-09 10:34 | Hurricanes vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.64 | $1.42 |