0x87F8eE4283b09014D38303648b04A4B09D922C95-1781598329909
0x87f8ee4283b09014d38303648b04a4b09d922c95
- Realised P&L
- $15.70
- Volume
- $305.58
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $71.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.554 | $53.15 | −$9.15 |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.374 | $13.06 | +$10.06 |
| Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.160 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.26at 0.826Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 14:44 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6499999984 | $62.30 |
| 09-01 14:43 | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.0859999761 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 14:43 | Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 06:42 | Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? | SELL | 0.9967108635 | $71.56 |
| 08-21 09:47 | Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? | BUY | 0.8199999981 | $58.88 |