0x87f3cfCeb984c77E9541E3baA7f8e982bD57eb53-1773352346479
0x87f3cfceb984c77e9541e3baa7f8e982bd57eb53
- Realised P&L
- $-15.32
- Volume
- $331.96
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $9.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.510 | 0.500 | $9.49 | −$0.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.71at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$2.10at 0.323Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$1.90at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
- +$1.72at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$1.28at 0.824Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5099999773 | $9.68 |
| 10-04 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $10.35 |
| 10-04 01:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.89 |
| 10-04 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $7.23 |
| 10-04 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.899999685 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $2.72 |
| 03-13 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.97 |