0x87f3662e720b45f53bd108281c9602a4167cea12
0x87f3662e720b45f53bd108281c9602a4167cea12
- Realised P&L
- $-339.99
- Volume
- $163.5k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shamrock Rovers vs. Drogheda United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.025 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.003 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.655 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Palermo: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro · Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.021Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$542.85at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$464.97at 0.055Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$444.54at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$242.83at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:10 | Will Shamrock Rovers vs. Drogheda United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:09 | Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $1.28 |
| 10-08 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:54 | Palermo: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $3.27 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $1.21 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.17 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.62 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.64 |