PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tailevent

0x87ef64cc61421e9852a97b00d5adec7f342099cd

Realised P&L
$-346.60
Volume
$3.55M
Markets traded
5,149
Open portfolio
$233.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,149
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.144$86.70+$86.10
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.025$23.45+$22.51
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.035$20.70+$20.10
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.025$15.24+$14.64
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.026$14.47+$13.91
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.019$14.45+$13.69
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.029$14.25+$13.75
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.029$8.17+$7.88
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.011$6.23+$5.69
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.021$3.81+$3.63
Will the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.004$2.40+$1.80
Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.004$2.40+$1.80
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.003$1.50+$0.90
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.003$1.50+$0.90
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.002$0.90+$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 07:42Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?SELL0.076$6.80
05-15 07:40Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?SELL0.1032149067$52.83
03-23 09:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 23?SELL0.002$0.36
03-23 09:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?SELL0.01$2.00
03-23 09:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 23?BUY0.999$199.80
03-23 08:58Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$10.00
03-23 05:56Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?SELL0.4614372012$139.94
03-09 12:59Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?BUY0.67$6.70
03-01 12:40Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1?BUY0.9903929847$124.00
12-17 09:03Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?SELL0.01901$11.41
12-11 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.0476190476$1.00
12-02 07:01Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?SELL0.0107820492$11.28
11-25 14:59Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?SELL0.0600276074$39.14
11-22 07:31Will Diogo Jota be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?SELL0.0069269583$3.32
11-17 10:23Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.002$0.07