pmguanyi
0x87eee23290be50ea73f14b4b32aafe3feb813e5a
- Realised P&L
- $-433.54
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $574.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.539 | 1.000 | $237.29 | +$109.29 |
| Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.554 | 0.860 | $209.57 | +$74.52 |
| Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.643 | 0.665 | $95.17 | +$3.17 |
| Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.230 | $32.47 | −$15.53 |
| Spread: Kataller Toyama (-1.5) · Kataller Toyama | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$21.96 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Slovakia (-2.5) · Slovakia | 0.367 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Albania (-3.5) · Albania | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.96at 0.331Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)
- +$109.89at 0.482Spread: Spain (-1.5)
- +$97.29at 0.512Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29?
- +$89.23at 0.432Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
- +$86.33at 0.542Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:00 | Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5541950203 | $135.05 |
| 10-03 07:59 | Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.339999999 | $48.00 |
| 10-03 07:58 | Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6428241243 | $92.00 |
| 10-03 07:23 | Spread: Kataller Toyama (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2799999985 | $22.00 |
| 10-03 07:22 | Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.539157565 | $128.00 |
| 10-02 18:48 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.42 | $63.00 |
| 10-02 18:48 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 10-02 18:47 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.309999999 | $13.00 |
| 10-02 18:46 | Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6160178316 | $87.00 |
| 10-02 18:45 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5215000685 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 18:44 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $32.00 |
| 10-02 18:44 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6699999988 | $68.00 |
| 10-02 18:43 | Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $66.00 |
| 10-02 18:43 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6699999955 | $34.00 |
| 10-02 18:35 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $148.97 |