PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pmguanyi

0x87eee23290be50ea73f14b4b32aafe3feb813e5a

Realised P&L
$-433.54
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$574.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5391.000$237.29+$109.29
Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-10-03? · No0.5540.860$209.57+$74.52
Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03? · No0.6430.665$95.17+$3.17
Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.3400.230$32.47−$15.53
Spread: Kataller Toyama (-1.5) · Kataller Toyama0.2800.001$0.04−$21.96
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$64.00
Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$66.00
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$100.00
Spread: Slovakia (-2.5) · Slovakia0.3670.000$0.00−$15.00
Spread: Albania (-3.5) · Albania0.4500.000$0.00−$34.00
Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$63.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$37.00
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$89.00
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 08:00Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5541950203$135.05
10-03 07:59Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.339999999$48.00
10-03 07:58Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.6428241243$92.00
10-03 07:23Spread: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)BUY0.2799999985$22.00
10-03 07:22Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.539157565$128.00
10-02 18:48Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.42$63.00
10-02 18:48Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.74$37.00
10-02 18:47Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.309999999$13.00
10-02 18:46Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6160178316$87.00
10-02 18:45Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5215000685$100.00
10-02 18:44Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$32.00
10-02 18:44Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6699999988$68.00
10-02 18:43Spread: Belgium (-1.5)BUY0.4199999977$66.00
10-02 18:43Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6699999955$34.00
10-02 18:35Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.999$148.97