Bledardy
0x87e9f46e7fdac2768a33ee2cbe5ff35a9056d811
- Realised P&L
- $-206.86
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $60.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.80at 0.380Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
- +$17.55at 0.363Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?
- +$12.55at 0.310Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$11.47at 0.071Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?
- +$11.24at 0.099Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:47 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 11:43 | Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 10-26 20:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.759 | $12.52 |
| 10-10 16:36 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0769544875 | $16.91 |
| 10-10 11:33 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.07072 | $17.68 |
| 10-09 23:39 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0844880025 | $10.74 |
| 10-09 22:55 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.064 | $0.64 |
| 10-09 09:48 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $42.40 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0644331866 | $8.64 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.25 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.41 |
| 01-21 18:13 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.0722772059 | $3.00 |
| 01-20 20:19 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 01-07 20:05 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.0377358491 | $5.00 |