xdf45y642561q3
0x87e659b03abca800f5f0ff622097cd00562b7284
- Realised P&L
- $253.35
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $1.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $1.13 | −$3.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.20at 0.520Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 3?
- +$0.61at 0.980Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?
- +$0.27at 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?
- +$0.21at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?
- +$0.19at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9929999334 | $11.90 |
| 07-29 06:39 | Will Solana reach $85 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.40 |
| 07-24 07:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.90 |
| 07-24 07:21 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.80 |
| 07-23 07:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.90 |
| 07-23 07:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.50 |
| 07-17 07:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.90 |
| 07-17 07:18 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.80 |
| 07-13 08:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9859999843 | $13.30 |
| 07-13 08:10 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.80 |
| 07-10 08:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.70 |
| 07-10 08:00 | Will Solana reach $95 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.80 |
| 07-09 08:06 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.80 |
| 07-09 08:05 | Will Solana reach $85 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.90 |
| 07-07 08:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.40 |