PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DecoAlex

0x87d37647c5498a3305d52a6550e0163d03b90e8b

Realised P&L
$15.8k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$4.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.004$4.74+$0.68
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$135.90
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$321.94
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$119.98
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$141.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$822.50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$360.50
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.3000.000$0.00$3.6k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$829.99
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$76.00
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? · No0.0300.000$0.00$60.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$199.50
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$210.74
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$12.13
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:15Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0399778653$50.00
07-15 09:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.197$98.50
07-10 20:45Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.3125$30.00
06-29 08:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.057$199.50
06-29 08:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.103$360.50
06-29 08:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.111$388.50
06-29 08:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209$731.50
06-29 08:10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.235$822.50
06-24 13:25Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$80.00
06-14 07:32Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.013$65.00
06-14 07:31Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$110.00
06-14 07:31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$105.00
06-12 17:59Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.0586109023$466.25
06-12 06:31Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.2135310841$1.5k
06-08 06:50Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$40.00