DecoAlex
0x87d37647c5498a3305d52a6550e0163d03b90e8b
- Realised P&L
- $15.8k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.145Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$4.9kat 0.311Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.1kat 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.0kat 0.015Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$2.8kat 0.078Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:15 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0399778653 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 09:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.197 | $98.50 |
| 07-10 20:45 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.3125 | $30.00 |
| 06-29 08:11 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.057 | $199.50 |
| 06-29 08:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.103 | $360.50 |
| 06-29 08:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.111 | $388.50 |
| 06-29 08:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209 | $731.50 |
| 06-29 08:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.235 | $822.50 |
| 06-24 13:25 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $80.00 |
| 06-14 07:32 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $65.00 |
| 06-14 07:31 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $110.00 |
| 06-14 07:31 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $105.00 |
| 06-12 17:59 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.0586109023 | $466.25 |
| 06-12 06:31 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.2135310841 | $1.5k |
| 06-08 06:50 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $40.00 |