Polarrrrr
0x87aeac99e9ffd9ca90ec4516df3df94191a9882d
- Realised P&L
- $-67.16
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $0.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.78at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$13.75at 0.608Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$12.80at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$11.37at 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
- +$10.50at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999394 | $2.25 |
| 05-18 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 05-18 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $4.16 |
| 05-18 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.38 |
| 05-18 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.149999955 | $2.50 |
| 05-18 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1502827194 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.279999972 | $6.00 |
| 05-18 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $4.64 |
| 05-18 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2262294595 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |