PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Polarrrrr

0x87aeac99e9ffd9ca90ec4516df3df94191a9882d

Realised P&L
$-67.16
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$0.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1? · Yes0.0090.002$0.33−$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.1910.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.0860.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.3180.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 17? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.4790.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.4380.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.1470.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:38Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
11-01 11:09Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 1?BUY0.009$2.00
05-18 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.2199999394$2.25
05-18 14:18Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.05$1.50
05-18 14:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL0.28$4.16
05-18 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.16$2.38
05-18 14:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.149999955$2.50
05-18 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.1502827194$5.00
05-18 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.279999972$6.00
05-18 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
05-18 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.25$2.00
05-18 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
05-18 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.35$4.64
05-18 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.2262294595$3.00
05-18 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00