DKNY1954
0x879d999541ea4b50b7c237092cfc2b5f8a1fb501
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $985.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,775
- Open portfolio
- $1.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,775
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$678.28at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
- +$515.48at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?
- +$483.45at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 26?
- +$480.05at 0.065Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 26?
- +$479.32at 0.132Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.91 |
| 08-08 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.47 |
| 08-02 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 08-01 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.54 |
| 08-01 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.86 |
| 07-31 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.37 |
| 07-31 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.12 |
| 07-31 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.73 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.15 |
| 07-31 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.38 |