DKNY1954
0x879d999541ea4b50b7c237092cfc2b5f8a1fb501
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Markets traded
- 1,936
- Open portfolio
- $8.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,936
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$673.54at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
- +$513.26at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?
- +$482.01at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 26?
- +$478.30at 0.066Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 26?
- +$473.95at 0.138Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-22 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.02 |
| 09-22 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.78 |
| 09-22 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.15 |
| 09-22 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.15 |
| 09-22 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.16 |
| 09-22 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.0139437981 | $2.90 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.48 |
| 09-22 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.0857645209 | $10.37 |
| 09-22 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.09 |
| 09-22 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.92 |
| 09-19 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.81 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.96 |
| 09-19 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4681994959 | $13.00 |
| 09-19 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.99 |