0x879c7b61229cc64a4381fb8e9d43e6a91288c7ea
0x879c7b61229cc64a4381fb8e9d43e6a91288c7ea
- Realised P&L
- $-1.39
- Volume
- $161.51
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · No | 0.280 | 0.385 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.085 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- +$1.63at 0.380US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:37 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:36 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:17 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |